Prediction.

There is no comparison for resume and levels they've fought at, but timing favours Martin heavily. Garcia is a 4 weight world champion, former unified champion, and Martin has never fought for a world title or fought a former champion, but Garcia is coming off 20 months out, Martin has fought twice since Garcia's last fight, he's had 3 times the fights Garcia has had in the last 3 years, and he is young, is in his prime, Garcia is old. I definitely think Martin would beat both opponents who beat him now, he's improved a lot in recent years, Garcia must be declining at 33. Garcia's last 2 fights were against big welterweights, but Martin is still the bigger fighter, the size aspect is interesting, but I think Martin is still stronger. Martin's stance is unlikely to be a big issue for Garcia, given he did 12 rounds against Spence. Martin has more speed in hand and foot, he has good footwork, and he's defensively good, uses upper body movement, he's never fought an opponent with Garcia's basic offence and defence, but he can give Garcia problem with his speed and lateral movement. Garcia hits harder than Martin even at 145, he's very small, isn't nearly the puncher he was at 135, but Martin isn't a puncher, I don't think he can hurt Garcia, Martin hasn't been down as far as I know, but he's never been in against a fighter with the timing or accuracy of Garcia. Martin hasn't dealt with the mental pressure of a fight of this magnitude, but I think Martin is more likely to have a mental edge, it's a great opportunity for him, he has more to gain in this fight, he will be prepared for the fight of his life, it will be hard for Garcia to have that mentality.

I think like against Vargas, Garcia will have a slow start, will be out worked, his timing and rhythm will be off in the early rounds, Martin will get off first in the early rounds, Garcia's jab will fall short, and Martin will land the counter left hand when Garcia throws the right, but as the rounds go on, his timing will improve, he will out box Martin at a steady tempo, will cut off the ring, and Martin will be an easy target for the right hand in the late rounds, I think Martin will try to get Garcia's respect by attacking head and body on the inside as Garcia backs him up, he will take more damage as he opens up, but he will have more of a rally in the late rounds.

I think Martin will edge this, I wouldn't be at all surprised if Garcia won, the difference in the levels they've fought at could well be too much for Martin even with the timing aspect on his side, but I doubt Garcia has the same desire at this stage of his career.